Archive for the ‘Elections & Campaigns’ Category.

Pick a poll

So things are looking perhaps a little more positive for M-P, even as the Dow continues to plunge, plunge, plunge. But we don’t want to assume naive optimism.

AP presidential poll: Race tightens in final weeks

Meanwhile, the IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll shows a shrinking of Obama’s lead to 3.7 points. That IBD poll is fascinating in the breakdown. So 44% of those making above $75K are for Obama. Well, those union jobs do pay well these days — if you still have one, that is. I myself am most emphatically not in that income level (note to self: get new unionized job that will drag company down eventually, but pay me well until then). Though if or when I make it there, I’ll prefer to do my charity in private, not strong-armed by the government, thank you.

ANYway, we should note that prior (and even current) polls that have Obama ahead by 7-10 points may be fatally flawed in that their sample is simply too heavily Democrat.

Of course, polls is polls. And true, early voting has gone to Obama, but doesn’t early voting usually go Dem? Regardless, I have a feeling Nov. 4 will be an interesting evening indeed. I will be perhaps secured by Chicago PD and Secret Service in my perch overlooking Obama-palooza.

Though I really cannot fathom the rage of the left should Obama lose. This is of course not saying I want Obama to win. But if we think we saw angry when Bush won in 2000… Katy bar the door (and no, not this Katy! I’m simply not strong enough to withstand the fury and screeching madness that would then descend.)

The Funniest Fifteen Minutes at the Al Smith Dinner

Dashing off to my glamorous life in the big city, BUT if you haven’t seen this, you should. I watched it on Thursday night, and thought it was rather hilarious. McCain was great. Obama was even slightly funny at times, though I think it’s obvious he didn’t feel completely at home with humor, which one can interpret many ways. But fun to watch.  And somehow very refreshing.

Here is a nice round-up of video and images at Chrisy’s Web Log!

Joe the Plumber, $250K, and the tax cut for 95%

Definitely a strong point for McCain last night were his (many) references to  Joe the Plumber, and the fact that Obama’s solution is to “spread the wealth around”. Of course, the left is going after poor Joe. “He’s not even licensed! He’s a Republican! He wants to make a lot of money!”

This brings up a salient difference. How much is too much? Who will get to spread the wealth, if wealth needs to be spread? The answers to these questions highlight the difference between a socialist and a free-market thinker.  And if you want to blame the free market for the recent “economic crisis”, go ahead, but please note that it’s the response of the free market to government regulations, starting with the Community Reinvestment  Act of 1977 (which, by the way, was a creature of ACORN — that bastion of helpfulness to illegal and probably dead voters everywhere).

McCain is not a great debater, that is for sure, BUT we are not electing a debater, but a decider!

I do wish, however, that he would have mentioned and elaborated more on the fact that Obama’s tax plan will most emphatically NOT be a tax cut for 95% of Americans.  The Wall Street Journal’s “Obama’s 95% Illusion” details it rather nicely. When a third of Americans pay no tax whatsoever, it’s really a handout to them. But this fits in well with his desire to  spread the wealth around.

Pretty soon, will there be wealth to spread?

Bring It!

So yeah this has been around for a couple weeks, but it bears watching again…

You’re blocking the teleprompter

Was that the best line of this debate?

I didn’t see the whole thing yet but what I did see did not impress me. The media had built it up as something McCain had to hit out of the park, and this was dutifully repeated by pundits on both sides. He didn’t, but did we expect him to? And then what was that about buying up everyone’s homes to provide security? WHAT?

Meanwhile, Obama’s campaign continues to lie about his positions, selling them as more centrist than they are.  (I just watched a TV ad about Obama’s healthcare plan suggesting that he is not for socialized medicine. Right. Of course, that’s exactly where his proposals would land us!) But whatever, no one reads anymore, and they think they want change, and this guy, as a friend recently said, is like an actor playing a black man running for President. Can voters raised in this culture resist that?

Andy McCarthy over at the Corner says the same things I’m feeling, but rather more strongly

Hating Sarah

I’ve often said over the last six years, what is the Left going to do in 2009, when there is no George Bush left in office to hate? What will they do?  Will they be like White Sox fans, whose initial response after winning the World Series a few years back was, “See Cubs fans! You didn’t win! Ha ha! We hate you!” And continue the anti-Bush rhetoric into 2012? That’s what’s called Sore Winning.

So W will be out in January, but the fear is ever present with liberals that Americans will act on their inherent homophobic, racist attitudes (liberals “love” America, just not Americans) and vote another eeeeevil Republican into office. Those heartless, hopeless, ignorant rubes could screw everything up, and they must be stopped!

Then entered Sarah Palin, and the fear went into overdrive. Dems are still very confident they’ll win, but there is fear there because she energizes middle-class, grassroots conservatives and so they HATE Sarah Palin. All the energy and venom previously directed to Bush is now aimed at the governor of Alaska, who they had never heard of before Labor Day.

And I have yet to hear one really reasonable argument against her being VP, a “heart-beat away from the presidency”. I have friends saying Todd Palin is giving goatees a bad name, and they wish to shave theirs. Others are alarmed by the occasional winking, which Palin used to very good effect in the recent debate. Keep it up, sister  ;-)

Of course, it’s so incredibly, almost childishly obvious that liberals are afraid of a strong,  attractive woman who knows how to use her femininity, and in defense of conservative principles no less!  I think her winking made some men take notice, and it made others uncomfortable. Maybe they don’t want to admit that they find her attractive at all because they are telling themselves that there is no possible way they could like someone with her views.

And isn’t that what we should be talking about, really? Call me naive, but come on.  From Joe Biden to Billy Bragg (ugh), I have heard for over a year that this is an election where Americans can really make a change.

Think about what that really means. Let’s just stop and think. Change is only as good as what it changes to.

Sarah Palin is, simply, a great role model for American women. She IS strong. She IS independent. She IS feminine.

Her lack of “experience” is a reasonable issue that reasonable people can debate, but the same can be said of Obama, and as NR said recently, the question of his experience is … more pressing.

The First Debate

First impressions before reading anyone else’s thoughts…

McCain had an opportunity to do something tonight and he didn’t.  He seemed too focused on hitting his talking points (how many ear-marks did Obama have again?) and not on speaking to his vision of America and where it should be heading.

I disagree with Obama on just about everything, but he tried very hard to make the point that he was for more regulation of the American economy (and that’s a good thing?).  McCain didn’t do enough to make the counter point, to be against regulation and to highlight how the current problem isn’t a failure of regulation, but rather a problem caused by government interference in the markets.  The government caused this mortgage problem by forcing the banks to make bad loans and then surreptitiously subsidizing them through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  This is not a market failure, but a government failure.

McCain should have made that point because it very nicely dovetailed with his talking points about government waste and government corruption coming from too much government spending (and all the money flowing from Fannie and Freddie to Obama and his buddies).  But he didn’t and that was a missed opportunity.

Obama didn’t wow me.  His much vaunted charisma was not on display as far as I could tell and between the two of them I think they put on the most painfully boring presidential debate ever.  Which is saying something (Bush/Dukakis anyone?).

Scoring points in the debates will be important for McCain if he wants to win this election and he didn’t score any on Friday.  Was he playing it safe because he thinks he has more to lose than Obama?  Perhaps the closeness of the polls is messing with the McCain campaign and convincing them the election is theirs to lose.

I don’t think that’s the case, I think McCain needs to hammer Obama to win, to overcome the intensity gap between his followers and the Chosen One’s, and I don’t think giving milquetoast performances in the debates is the way to do that.

Sincerity, honor, and service

Those would be the themes I think the McCain campaign was going for with this speech.  And I think it succeeded. I would have loved to hear more specific policies, to respond to Obama’s Marxist prescriptions, but the timing and audience was not right. Or at least that’s what more knowledgeable pundits than me are saying.

Were attacks on Obama necessary tonight? Maybe not. After all, Palin and Giuliani and others have gone after Obama/Biden.  I kept wanting the speech to look forward more than backwards, but he did need to sell his experience, and more importantly, his principles and love of country. Those were indeed the most affecting lines.  In part because they do stand in contrast to Obama’s camp. He can say he loves his country, but he is so quick to find fault with it.

And he ended strong, no doubt about it. Talking through the impassioned cheers of the crowd was a good move. It showed strength of purpose and confidence and passion.

Now. Let’s get down to specific policies, and why the differences matter. Because they do.

Home run for Pioneer VP!

In not only a well-delivered, but principled and inspiring speech, Sarah Palin proved that she carries all the necessary qualities of a Vice President.

  1. She respects her running mate. His honor, his desire for reform, his service to the US. For crying out loud, we, who actually didn’t like McCain at all during the primaries, felt our hearts start to swell with pride (this doesn’t mean we agree with him on immigration or certain votes that he cast over the last 6 years, but friends, as McCain would say, look at the alternative).
  2. She has principles . In Palin’s case, strong principles toward reform and freedom
  3. She has action. As she rightly noted, she as mayor has actually done things, while Obama as community organizer (and Rudy had perhaps the best line of the night about that — “What??”), has done next to nothing. He has not one meaningful piece of legislation to his name. NOT ONE. And he is running for President.
  4. She can deliver a speech well. Yes, she had help from excellent speechwriter Matt Scully. More power to her. But it was clearly still her speech. She spoke to the nation, not at the nation. Point scored.

This was not ony a first-inning home run, as Nina Easton said tonight, it was maybe a homerun with two men on base. In the second.

I think it was Peggy Noonan who today in her column who said that Sarah Palin would be a different kind of woman politican. She wouldn’t be a slightly curmudgeonly older woman, like Maragaret Thatcher (who we still love!), or a woman brought into politics because a father or husband or brother was in it, but a pioneer woman, straight of the American West. The one who had to keep the homestead safe from attack by bears or criminals or others when the usual protector (yes, usually a man) was away. She could shoot when necessary. She understood what was worth fighting for.

And by the way, here’s Noonan’s response to the off-mic comment she got caught making on Wednesday before Palin’s speech.

And real fast, I note that some friends of mine are quick to jump on that fun “I have more foreign policy experience than Sarah Palin” wagon. It makes me … amused. I smile. Okay, maybe you do, if by foreign policy we mean getting a passport stamp and little or no thought given to things, like, umm, policy. What else do you have? Executive experience? Passion for reform? Compassion? A love of the U.S.A.?  A running mate (who, by the way, is running for the top job) who has far, far more foreign policy experience than anyone else currently running, and who has a mother who is 96 years old and in seemingly robust health? Well then, let’s vet you.

I’m with the convention-goers who carried the hand-made ‘Palin Power’ signs. Let’s go!

Senator & Beauty Queen vs. Beauty Queen & Senator

And I like our Senator more than theirs.  And Palin is much prettier than Obama.

A run down of the girls’ experiences over at RedState.

That’s the truly confusing part of this for me.  The Democrats are running the least experienced candidate ever for President.  Palin’s experience stacks up well against Obama’s at every level (she definitely beats him on Executive experience), and she’s running for Vice-President and they’re still hitting the experience card.

Are they that lacking in self-awareness?  Is there nothing else to talk about?  I mean other than the hurricane, which somehow helps Democrats?

Those are some strange voters over there…